One of the main issues facing us in this election is taxation — who pays how much, who should pay how much, and how is income distributed, and how should it be distributed.
||Single $48K == 2012 Avg
||Single with child, $25K
||94.0% + Corp||25.0%
||91.0% + Corp||30.0%
||77.0% + Corp||27.0%
||70.0% + Corp||34.0%
||22.0% – EIC|
||28.0% + Corp||28.0%
||15.0% – EIC|
||31.0% + Corp||28.0%
||15.0% – EIC|
||39.6% + Corp||28.0%
||00.0% – EIC|
||35.0% + Corp||25.0%
||10.0% – EIC|
||35.0% + Corp||25.0%
||10.0% – EIC|
Source Tax Foundation
The $48K value and the $25K value are in 2011 dollars. Per captita GDP is about 350% of what it was in 1945, so at that time the $25K person was well above average — quite well off for the time.
1945: End of Depression / WWII
1960: Just before the JFK tax cut
1964: Just after the JFK tax cut
1980: Just before the Reagan tax cuts
1988: Just after the Reagan tax cuts
1991: Just after “read my lips” raised taxes
1993: Just after Clinton raised taxes (and eliminated them on the poor)
2003: Just after W’s tax cut (and increase on the poor)
|“+ Corp”||Most of the money the rich make is through ownership of investments, such as stocks. The earnings of a company you own stock in is subject to the corporate tax, and that basically comes out of the pockets of the shareholders, in other words, the rich. A large corporation is currently taxed at the highest individual tax rate. So the present tax rate for the very rich is actually much higher than 35.0% (unless they can find some MAJOR deductions). For historical corporate rates, see chart|
|“- EIC”||The $25K person with a child was eligible for 2 deductions, or $7400 in 2012, a substantial fraction of their income. These deductions are less significant for the other two people. The $25K person is also eligible for the EIC “Earned Income Credit” (a ridiculous name — it’s a credit for not having earned much). After the 2 deductions, at 10% tax, the poor person pays about 7% tax. The EIC winds up being about 6.7% of their pretax income, so they really pay about 0.3% tax.The EIC was instituted in 1975 and gradually increased since then, so all the figures marked “- EIC” are in fact paying a lot less than that amount of tax.The two single people aren’t eligible for the EIC, which is mostly for poor people with kids — without kids, you really have to be starving to qualify for it.|
Tea Party Myth: Tax rates on the rich are at an unprecedented level, and raising them any more will have catastrophic, hard to predict consequences.
Fact: Tax rates on the rich are at 37% of what they were at the end of WWII, and 45% of what they were in the late ’60’s. We have had some major economic boom times under drastically higher tax rates on the rich. Obama wants to raise the marginal tax rate on the rich, but only by 13% back to Clinton Era (boom time) levels.
|Year||% Paid by Top 1%||% Paid by Top 10%||% Paid by Bottom 50%|
Source: National Taxpayers Union
OWS Myth: The rich are hardly paying any share of the taxes, the little guy is carrying most of the burden.
Fact: The rich are paying a large share of the taxes, the little guy is hardly paying anything.
|Year||Federal Budget||Federal Revenues||Deficit|
|2000||2.04 Trillion||2.31 Trillion||-270 Billion|
|2003||2.30 Trillion||1.90 Trillion||400 Billion|
|2007||2.56 Trillion||2.41 Trillion||150 Billion|
|2011||3.13 Trillion||2.00 Trillion||1.13 Trillion|
Source Tax Policy Center
Myth: Tax cuts alone are why we have a deficit.
Fact: Spending is up 53% since 2000. So we don’t just have a revenue problem, there is also a spending problem. Also, revenues had more than recovered from W’s tax cuts by 2007. The recession clobbered revenues.
|2000||462 Billion||222 Billion||332 Billion|
|2003||497 Billion||261 Billion||425 Billion|
|2007||552 Billion||353 Billion||519 Billion|
|2011||632 Billion||420 Billion||610 Billion|
Inflation Data: inflationdata.com
Myth: Defense costs have reduced since we got out of Iraq.
Fact: Defense spending has continued to rise, up 258 billion FYI 2005 dollars since 2000, Medicare and Social Security put together are up 170 + 198 = 368 billion dollars. Defense spending is up 84% since peacetime, Social security is up 37%, and Medicare is up 89%.
|Year||Per Capita GDP||% Increase
Note the numbers are lower than the chart before it because ‘Per Captita’ is per individual, including dependents, while the above chart is ‘Per Household’, which often includes two incomes.
Source: Visualizing Economics
Household Income Change Since 1979 (FYI 2005 Dollars)
Source: Derived from the ‘Crouch’ data in the table two tables before this one.
|Percentile of Wealth||0-80%||80-90%||90-95%||95-99%||99-100%|
|% of Total||15%||12%||11%||27%||35%|
|Average Wealth Relative to Average||18.75%||120%||220%||675%||3500%|
I remember back in the ’60’s / ’70’s, liberals used to go on and on about poverty. Now they mostly talk about inequality. This is because poverty hasn’t gotten any worse (nor has it gotten better), but inequality has grown.
Unlike most liberals, I do not lie awake at night dreading the possibility that anybody else may be better off than me. I do not see wealth or inequality as problems. I do worry about the people who are worse off.
We should not expect increases in per capita GDP to be distributed equally throughout the population. That is not how the marketplace works. The spoils go to those who have contributed to the increase, which means those with skills.
That said, I am surprised the people in the 60-80% range, who must include a lot of fairly skilled people, aren’t seeing a larger share of the gain from increasing productivity.